Tag Archives: stimulus

DollarStar

Dollar Rises Against Most Peers on Fed’s Tapering

And thus it begins! The Fed’s tapering of stimulus that is. After economists’ expectations were disappointed when the Fed refrained from tapering in its September and a government shutdown that threatened to blow up in the air the entire economy of the U.S., the Fed decided yesterday to lower its bond-purchasing budget to $75 billion.

Following the decision the dollar gained against most of its 16 major peers. Currencies, however, did not swing as much as traders anticipated as the Fed highlighted that it intents to keep borrowing costs low for longer. After a four-month slump against the dollar, the yen regained some of its strength yesterday. Japanese policy makers started their meeting early this morning which will decide the future of Japan’s Quantitative Easing into the new year. The euro, however, dropped before discussion regarding a planned banking union began at a summit of European Union leaders.

Many economists see the Fed’s decision to begin tapering now as an entryway into a more stable and normal monetary policy for the future.

At the end of its meeting yesterday, the Federal Open Market Committee announced that it would cut its QE programme from $85 billion to $75 billion, a commitment that promises to slowly remove the unprecedented stimulus set in place by the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke to ease economic recovery from the worst crises since the 1930s recession.

Policy makers were also quick to assure the public that the benchmark rate would likely remain low “well past the time that the unemployment rate declines below 6.5 percent, especially if projected inflation continues to run below” the goal of 2 percent. The rate for federal-funds has remained within the narrow range of 0 to 0.25 percent since the crisis hit the U.S. in 2008.

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Godl-canada

Canadian Stock Rise on Precious Metals’ Rally

The stocks of Canadian producers of precious metals received a boost after negative U.S. unemployment data were released yesterday and Janet Yellen indicated intentions for continued stimulus in her testimony in the U.S. senate as the nominee for Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

B2Gold Corp. rallied 5.1 percent with the price of gold reversing on five days of losses. Pan American Silver Corp. climbed 7.8 percent as silver gained. CGI Group Inc. (GIB/A), while Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. gained 4.5 percent.

The raw-materials industry experienced a general lift with stock rising 1 percent in 8 out of 10 industries. Total trading volume exceeded the 30-day average by 11 percent.

The longest-running slump in gold since August broke off yesterday as gold jumped 1.4 percent The S&P/TSX Gold Index increased 2 percent with 22 of its 24 members advancing. Pan American Silver ralled 7.8 percent and Silvercrorp Metals Inc. increased 3.5 percent.

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yen_by_kawaiioliviachan-d66tla8

Yen Slides on Lower Commodity Demand

With global hesitation to reduce economic stimulus and gains in stocks, demands for assets has dampened sending the yen spinning down against the dollar.

Yesterday marked the first break through the 100-lever point for the yen after two months of relative strength and the currency is expected to record weekly declines against all its major peers amidst data of slowing growth and ahead of the Bank of Japan’s meeting next week. The dollar itself, however, is set to fall against the euro for the first time this month as Janet Yellen, the nominee chairman for the Federal Reserve, stated that more signs of economic strength were needed before tapering begins.

The yen slid 0.2 percent to 100.20 per dollar and touched 100.31, its lowest level since 11th September. The Japanese currency fell 1.2 percent against the dollar in the third consecutive week of losses, and 1.8 percent versus the euro, marking the greatest five-day slide since July.

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Nikkei

Japanese Indices Stagger Upon Record Stimulus

The Japanese Nikkei 225 Stock Average risks a precipitous drop of about 20 percent to 12,000 unless the government can convince investors of the success of its economic stimulus plans, according to the leader of Japan equities, Nomura Holdings Inc. (8604).

The Nikkei index increased 2.1 percent to 14,876.41 as the trading day closed in Tokyo today, having fallen 4.8 percent from the 5 1/2-year high it reached on 22nd May. Investors worry that the government’s plan to increase sales tax will cripple momentum as the economy is already kept afloat by an unprecedented stimulus.

Japan’s equities, however, still outperform other developed markets for the year, as the Nikkei 225 and the broader Topix indices rose 40 percent through yesterday. Japanese stocks have attracted $108.5 billion this year from overseas institutional investors.

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Bull Maket

Obama’s Re-Election Among Best for Stocks

Neither a problematic release of health-care reform nor international outcry over spying allegations are enough to spoil Barack Obama’s triumph in having one of the best stock markets for a re-elected president. Signs of a reverse, however, are making their way on the horizon.

Standard and Poor’s index jumped 24 percent this year recording its third-biggest annual increase after a returning president since the 1930s, trailing the second terms of Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan. The index has advanced 108 percent since Obama became president, adding more than $10 trillion in equity market value.

Obama stock increases have been favoured by a record Federal Reserve stimulus, interest rates around zero percent and a doubling of corporate profits since they dropped to a five-year low in 2008. The rally that started just after Obama took office now exceeds the average length of bull market by almost a year, and valuation have increased 18 percent in 2013. But the future looks grimmer with prospects of the Fed curtailing stimulus, threatening higher borrowing costs, and further gains under the current president are not anticipated.

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Topix

Topix Trims Gains Ahead of U.S. Data

After yesterday’s gains, Japan’s Topix index dropped, as profit forecasts disappointed investors before U.S. growth and data that are expected to provide clues about when the Federal Reserve will start reducing stimulus.

Toyota Motor Corp. (7203), the world’s biggest car manufacturer, fell 1.3 percent as its net-income projection did not correspond to estimates. Casio Computer Co., the watch and calculator maker, lost 2.9 percent after increasing its profit outlook less than analysts anticipated. Toray Industries Inc., the producer of carbon fibre used in Boeing Co.’s 787 Dreamliner, gained 5.7 percent after profit surged.

The Topix slid 0.6 percent to 1,184.73 at the close in Tokyo. All but four of the 33 industry groups fell, with volume 11 percent below the 30-day average. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped 0.8 percent to 14,228.44. The U.S. releases gross domestic product data today and employment figures tomorrow.

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citi buildig

Treasuries Rebound from Bottom as Surprise Index Drops

The past two months saw treasuries recover from the the world’s worst performing rank for bonds as U.S. economic data figures missed experts anticipated marks by the most since July.

Debt due in 10 years and more increased 4.1 percent in the period, No. 34 of 144 indexes compiled by the European Federation of Financial Analysts Societies and Bloomberg. Securities lost the most of all in 2013 recording a huge 90.2 percent drop. The Citigroup Economic Surprise Index dropped to negative 3.8 yesterday as economic data came in at levels below analysts’ expectations. While following the Fed’s meeting policy makers talked of “underlying strength” in the American economy, two Federal Reserve officials so far this week spoke of prolonged stimulus to spur the economy.

Benchmark 10-year yields were little changed at 2.60 percent as of 6:51 a.m. in London, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader data. The price of the 2.5 percent note due in August 2023 was 99 1/8.
The yield has fallen from 2.99 percent on 5th September, which was the highest close this year. It has remained below its average of 3.51 percent over the past decade.

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East Asia Stock Markets

Asian Indices Slide before Fed Cuts Stimulus

Asian stocks decline after the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Richard Fisher, said the U.S. central bank should curb its record stimulus as soon as possible.

Financial companies in South Korea including Shinhan Financial Group Co., Mirae Asset Securities Co. and Hana Financial Group Inc. fell more than 3 percent. Coca-Cola Amatil Ltd. (CCL), Australia’s largest listed drinks company, declined 4.7 percent after predicting 2013 earnings to drop. MStar Semiconductor Inc., an electronics component maker, advanced 7 percent to close at a record in Taipei.
The MSCI Asia Pacific excluding Japan Index dropped 0.3 percent to 478.22 after rising as much as 0.2 percent. Nearly twice as many stocks fell as rose on the index.

The Fed began changing its rhetoric after its last meeting last month mentioning signs of “underlying strength” in American economy that have people talking about the cost of quantitative easing and the possibility of its curbing sooner than previously anticipated.

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melted gold

Gold Slides for Fifth Day; Gold Bug Expects Reversal Soon

After its speedy rise at the end of the U.S. government shutdown and signs of a struggling American economy, gold recorded its fifth consecutive day of rapid decline, heading for the longest slump in three months, after data showed U.S. manufacturing activity climbed to a two-year high, spurring speculation that the Federal Reserve will after all begin paring stimulus sooner that previously forecast.

Bullion for immediate delivery fell as much as 0.3 percent to $1,312.24 an ounce. Further drop today would mark the longer losing run since the five days leading to 1st August.

Gold plummeted 22 percent in 2013 as investors sold off the safe-haven commodity as prospects of an economic recovery appeared on the horizon. Although the Fed maintained its $85 billion monthly bond-buying programme last week, it also noted signs of underlying strength” in the world’s largest economy that seems to have renewed investors trust in the USD.

But not everyone agrees that investors should so quickly shun the precious metal. Peter Schiff, nicknamed gold bug, predicts gold will maintain its 21 percent year-to-date fall and even surge 52 percent to hit a record $2,000 an ounce within a year. Schiff stated that he’s waiting for a dollar crash, one much worse than any thus-far experienced, that will benefit gold. Despite the gold bug’s accurate predictions in 2006 about the burst of the housing bubble and bank bankruptcy, many critics laugh at his recent predictions seeing no signs for such economic reversal.

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_MG_6606

S&P 500 Poised for Best Year Gain in a Decade

The Standard and Poor’s 500 Index is headed for its best annual gain since 2003 with U.S. stocks raising again this week after the weaker-than-expected economic data triggered bets the Federal Reserve will not reduce its stimulus at its meeting.

The S&P 500 gained 0.1 percent to 1,762.11 at 4 p.m. in New York. The gauge has increased 23.6 percent this year, which would mark the best annual gain since a 26.4 percent jump in 2003. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.35 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 15,568.93. About 5.9 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, in line with the three-month average.

Last week, the S&P 500 rallied 0.9 percent during its third straight weekly gain. The gauge has climbed 4.8 percent this month as U.S. lawmakers agreed to raise the government’s borrowing limit.

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