Tag Archives: New Zealand Official Cash Rate

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Oil Prices Increase As Iraq Tensions Brew

Here’s today’s ‘Just A Minute’ bringing you a 60 second summary of what’s happening in the financial markets:

Main Trading Event Of The Day: U.S. Unemployment Claims @ 12.30 GMT

WHAT WE’RE WATCHING TODAY

Oil Prices Increase As Iraq Tensions Brew

Surging U.S. oil production was expected to drive oil prices lower this year, but a number of geopolitical events, in particular, a Sunni militant uprising in Iraq could now drive already high prices even higher and keep them there. Citigroup raised its price forecast for Brent crude several weeks ago to an average $109 per barrel this year, and $105 for next year, based on a cluster of geopolitical events. Crude prices have been trading near 52-week highs. Brent was up slightly Wednesday, hovering at $110 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate has been moving higher with it, closing at $104.40 per barrel on Wednesday. Outages in Libya, the ongoing boycott against Iranian crude and security concerns in Nigeria are all adding to worry that global oil supplies could become tighter. Russia’s foray into Ukraine also has added slightly to the price premium since it is a major source of oil to Europe. Another factor driving prices is China’s growing demand for oil. But at the same time, U.S. oil production continues to surge. The latest U.S. government data, released Wednesday, shows domestic oil production rose to 8.46 million barrels a day last week, up from 7.2 million barrels at the same time last year and 8.38 million barrels just a week earlier. So far, with OPEC pumping 30 million barrels a day and the U.S. producing more oil now than it imports, prices have risen but not spiked on fears about Iraq. However, this could be set to change.

RBNZ Signals Further Tightening After Third Rate Rise

New Zealand’s central bank raised interest rates for the third time this year and signaled more tightening to come. The dollar surged jumping from 1.2 percent to 86.47 U.S. cents in Tokyo and headed for its biggest daily gain in four months. The kiwi rallied at least 1 percent versus all of its 31 major counterparts as Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Graeme Wheeler said it was important to contain inflation expectations. New Zealand’s central bank boosted its official cash rate by a quarter-percentage point to 3.25 percent. Wheeler is the first central banker from a developed nation to raise official interest rates this year, fueling gains in the nation’s currency. Wheeler added that “the bank does not believe the exchange rate is sustainable at current levels. The exchange rate has not yet adjusted to weakening commodity prices, but is expected to do so.”

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Gold Holds Near Two-Week High

Gold held near the highest level in two weeks as a rally in equities faltered, boosting demand for alternative investments. Gold for immediate delivery was at $1,261.12 an ounce yesterday. The metal yesterday climbed to $1,265.32, the highest level since May 28, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average halted a five-day advance after the World Bank cut its forecast for global growth. While gold has seen a bit of bounce, the outlook for prices remains negative as U.S. economic data continues to improve, supporting strength in the stock markets and tapering. Bullion sank 28 percent in 2013 to end a 12-year bull run on speculation the Fed will trim asset purchases used to fuel growth as the economy recovers.

That sums up today’s highlights! Don’t forget to keep updated on all today’s trading events via Facebook, Twitter, Google+ and LinkedIn. We hope you have a profitable day on the markets.

 

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RBNZ Expected To Hike Official Cash Rate

Here’s today’s ‘Just A Minute’ bringing you a 60 second summary of what’s happening in the financial markets:

Main Trading Event Of The Day: NZD Official Cash Rate @ 21.00 GMT

WHAT WE’RE WATCHING TODAY

RBNZ Expected To Hike Official Cash Rate

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to lift the official cash rate a further 25 bps when it meets today. However, there is less consensus on the indications the bank may provide about the timing and pace of future hikes. The RBNZ began lifting the OCR from historically low rates in March to the current 3.00% and at the time signaled regular increases at six weekly intervals through September. Since then the balance of factors has shifted. While dairy prices have declined and the pace of gains in house prices has slowed, the exchange rate has remained steady, migration has soared, and economic data have surprised to the upside. The net balance doesn’t change expectations for a hike on Thursday but economists differ on whether this raises the odds of a hold in July and the number of OCR hikes that are likely this year. Expectations range from another 25 basis hike by December, following the likely Thursday hike, to three more hikes that will take the OCR to 4.00%.The money market is expecting a total of two hikes by December. Reserve Bank governor Graeme Wheeler will release the bank’s decision today @ 21.00 hours GMT. The bank’s statement will include an updated set of economic forecasts in the quarterly Monetary Policy Statement.

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Euro Under Pressure In Asia As Stocks Sit On Gains

The euro came under fire today as the European Central Bank’s embrace of negative interest rates encouraged flows out of the Eurozone, while Asian shares consolidated near recent highs. In contrast the dollar found support in a run of improving U.S. economic data which has increased speculation that the Federal Reserve might sound less dovish on policy when it meets next week. The euro fell to $1.3524 and further away from a $1.3668 peak scored at the start of the week. It also hit a seven-month trough on the higher-yielding Australian dollar and to near its lowest against the pound since late 2007.Action in equity markets was more muted with many indices already having come a long way. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0.2 percent from a three-year peak. Japan’s Nikkei edged up 0.3 percent aided by MSCI’s decision to remove South Korea and Taiwan indexes from its review list for reclassification to developed markets, keeping them in the emerging markets classification. Moves were minor on Wall Street with the Dow up 0.02 percent, while the S&P 500 down 0.02 percent.

Google Buying Satellite Company For $500 Million

Google is buying Skybox Imaging, a 5 year old startup, in a deal that could serve as a launching pad for the company to send its own fleet of satellites to take aerial pictures and provide online access to remote areas of the world. The $500 million acquisition will initially provide Google with the means to improve the quality and immediacy of the satellite imagery used in its digital maps. Google plans to use Skybox’s satellite already in orbit to supplement the material that it licenses from more than 1,000 sources, including other satellite companies. Eventually, though, Google hopes to build more satellites that could be used to beam Internet access to points around the world.

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That sums up today’s highlights! Check into our Facebook, Twitter and Google+ pages for regular updates on all the tradable events of the day. We hope you have a profitable day on the markets.

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