Here’s today’s ‘Just A Minute’ bringing you a 60 second summary of what’s happening in the financial markets:
Main Trading Event Of The Day: U.S. Unemployment Claims @ 12.30 GMT
WHAT WE’RE WATCHING TODAY
Oil Prices Increase As Iraq Tensions Brew
Surging U.S. oil production was expected to drive oil prices lower this year, but a number of geopolitical events, in particular, a Sunni militant uprising in Iraq could now drive already high prices even higher and keep them there. Citigroup raised its price forecast for Brent crude several weeks ago to an average $109 per barrel this year, and $105 for next year, based on a cluster of geopolitical events. Crude prices have been trading near 52-week highs. Brent was up slightly Wednesday, hovering at $110 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate has been moving higher with it, closing at $104.40 per barrel on Wednesday. Outages in Libya, the ongoing boycott against Iranian crude and security concerns in Nigeria are all adding to worry that global oil supplies could become tighter. Russia’s foray into Ukraine also has added slightly to the price premium since it is a major source of oil to Europe. Another factor driving prices is China’s growing demand for oil. But at the same time, U.S. oil production continues to surge. The latest U.S. government data, released Wednesday, shows domestic oil production rose to 8.46 million barrels a day last week, up from 7.2 million barrels at the same time last year and 8.38 million barrels just a week earlier. So far, with OPEC pumping 30 million barrels a day and the U.S. producing more oil now than it imports, prices have risen but not spiked on fears about Iraq. However, this could be set to change.
RBNZ Signals Further Tightening After Third Rate Rise
New Zealand’s central bank raised interest rates for the third time this year and signaled more tightening to come. The dollar surged jumping from 1.2 percent to 86.47 U.S. cents in Tokyo and headed for its biggest daily gain in four months. The kiwi rallied at least 1 percent versus all of its 31 major counterparts as Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Graeme Wheeler said it was important to contain inflation expectations. New Zealand’s central bank boosted its official cash rate by a quarter-percentage point to 3.25 percent. Wheeler is the first central banker from a developed nation to raise official interest rates this year, fueling gains in the nation’s currency. Wheeler added that “the bank does not believe the exchange rate is sustainable at current levels. The exchange rate has not yet adjusted to weakening commodity prices, but is expected to do so.”
Gold Holds Near Two-Week High
Gold held near the highest level in two weeks as a rally in equities faltered, boosting demand for alternative investments. Gold for immediate delivery was at $1,261.12 an ounce yesterday. The metal yesterday climbed to $1,265.32, the highest level since May 28, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average halted a five-day advance after the World Bank cut its forecast for global growth. While gold has seen a bit of bounce, the outlook for prices remains negative as U.S. economic data continues to improve, supporting strength in the stock markets and tapering. Bullion sank 28 percent in 2013 to end a 12-year bull run on speculation the Fed will trim asset purchases used to fuel growth as the economy recovers.
That sums up today’s highlights! Don’t forget to keep updated on all today’s trading events via Facebook, Twitter, Google+ and LinkedIn. We hope you have a profitable day on the markets.