Tag Archives: Finance

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Putin sets new record for Olympic spending

Sochi may be expecting to set new Olympic records at the 2014 Games this winter, but it has already set its own record, and it’s all about the money.

It begins with a train. The new road and railway to the mountain resort that will host the Sochi 2014 Winter Olympics, houses a newly opened, glass-fronted train station - the largest in Russia - overseeing 52,000 miles of rail track, the third-largest network in the world. Employing nearly a million people, the 31-mile Adler-to-Krasnaya Polyana project, a route which connects the arenas and Olympic Village along the Black Sea, is certainly ambitious, with a tunnel requiring engineering work so challenging that in 2011 it was named Major Tunnelling Project of the Year at an international awards ceremony.

But it comes at a cost. It is no surprise that the state agency that oversaw the infrastructure project is Russian Railways (RZhD), whose head is Vladimir Yakunin, a close associate of Vladimir Putin. The latter sees the Sochi Games as a key to the economic and geopolitical revival of Russia, holding back nothing when it came to the budget of the Games. But while RZhD’s construction project is something for the company to be proud of - given the region’s difficult and mountainous terrain as well the rushed time frame for finishing construction -Russians are not so proud of its hefty price tag. At $8.7 billion, this train extravaganza eclipses the total cost for preparations for the last Winter Olympics in Vancouver in 2010. And that is just the railway route.

At $51 billion, the Sochi Games are the costliest ever, surpassing the $40 billion spent by China on the 2008 Summer Olympics. How the Sochi Games grew so expensive is a tale of Putin-era Russia…but is this necessity or indulgence? Some argue that only $6 billion of it is directly Olympics-related, with the rest going to infrastructure and regional development which the state would have carried out anyway. That may be true, but it is hard to imagine the Russian government building an $8.7 billion road and railway up to the mountains if there were no Olympic Games.

When in 2007 Russia was bidding to host these 2014 Winter Olympics, the superfluous amounts it was willing to spend were all about pride and winning over the International Olympic Committee. Putin’s pledge to spend $12 billion in Sochi overshadowed the bids of the other finalists from South Korea and Austria. But since then, as costs have increased, Russian officials have grown less eager to boast about the size of the final bill.

Political opposition has claimed that the Russian state spent three times more on the road than NASA did for the delivery and operation of a new generation of Mars rovers! To top that off, an article in Russian Esquire estimated that for the sum the government spent on the road, it could have been paved entirely with a centimetre-thick coating of beluga caviar!

Down the hillside at the train’s final stop, stands a giant banner: “Sochi is preparing for Olympic records!” As it stands, the only record that Sochi is hitting at the moment is that of expenditure.

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How much are the world’s top 300 billionaires worth?

Have you ever wondered what might be the collective worth of the world’s top billionaires? According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, which measures a daily ranking of the world’s 300 wealthiest individuals, the richest people on earth got even richer last year, raising the total of their worth by as much as $524 billion. Their combined net worth in 2013 stood at $3.7 trillion at the market close on December 31st. The biggest gains were rooted in the technology industry, which soared 28 percent during the year.

It is no wonder therefore that the world’s biggest gainer was Bill Gates, the founder and chairman of Microsoft, the world’s largest software maker. The 58-year-old tycoon’s fortune increased by a staggering $15.8 billion to $78.5 billion, according to the index, as shares of Microsoft rose a whopping 40 percent. Sheldon Adelson, founder of Las Vegas Sands Corp., the world’s largest casino company, was the second-biggest gainer in 2013, adding $14.4 billion to his net worth as the company’s shares rose 71 percent. Gates used to be the world’s richest person, then lost his title to Mexican investor Carlos Slim, but then gained it back again last May.

Surprisingly, less than a quarter of Gates’s fortune is held in Microsoft. Most of Gates’s assets are held in Cascade Investment LLC, an entity through which he owns stakes in about three dozen publicly traded companies and several closely held businesses, including Four Seasons Hotels and Resorts and Corbis Corp., a photo-archive company. Gates’s fortune has also benefited from a rally in stock holdings that include the Canadian National Railway Co. and sanitising-products maker Ecolab Inc., which rose 34 percent and 45 percent respectively. Gates may be the wealthiest man alive but he does his part to help the less fortunate, as he also donated $28 billion to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

So what might be the cause of such astounding gains? Well, 2013 has seen the best annual gain in global stocks since 2009, with the MSCI World Index advancing 24 percent during the year to close at 1,661.07 on December 31st, and the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index rising 30 percent to close at 1,848.36 - its best yearly gain since 1997. The Stoxx Europe 600 also gained 17 percent to close at 328.26. Companies in the S&P 500 are now worth $3.7 trillion more than they were 12 months ago following a year when Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke signaled the curbing of economic stimulus. The depths of the credit crisis gave birth to a bull market, entering its sixth year fueled by near-zero interest rates and conviction among investors that it is finally safe to own equities again.

The question remains: will the rich keep getting richer in 2014? John Catsimatidis, the billionaire founder of real estate and energy conglomerate Red Apple Group Inc., seems to think so. “Interest rates will remain low, equity markets will keep rising, and the economy will grow at less than 2 percent,” he says. All good signs for Bill Gates and the other 299 richest people on this planet! Let’s just hope some of their good fortune rubs off on the rest of us!

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U.S. Indices Rise with Improved Job Market

The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its first close over 16,000 as U.S. stocks rose on data showing an improved job market causing some companies to announce a repurchase of shares.

More specifically, Union Pacific, Johnson Controls and Ace gained at least 1.4 percent. Micron Technology Inc. jumped 6.3 percent, the most since August. General Motors Co. (GM) rallied 1.1 percent following the announcement of the U.S. Treasury Department to sell its remaining stake in the company. Target Corp. (TGT) fell 3.5 percent after reporting lower-than anticipated yield due to losses in its Canadian branch.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained 0.8 percent to 1,795.85 at 4 p.m. in New York, nearly eliminating the drop of the last three day. The Dow average climbed 109.17 points, or 0.7 percent, to a record 16,009.60.

The near record-high mutual-fund market and the deepening bond losses that threaten to fall even more on increasing interest rates have sent U.S. investors to stock mutual funds spending more money on them than they have in the past 13 years. So far this year sock funds earned $172 billion, the most since the 2000 overall of $272 billion, according to the estimates of Morningstar Inc.

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Investors Wage Mammoth Trades on VIX and SPX

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) has just received a $13 million investment from a single investor in call options forecasting that the gauge will jump 88 percent by the first quarter next year.

According to Trade Alert LLC, an unnamed investor bought approximately 100,000 VIX March calls, placing the contracts on the top-five list of most-traded U.S. options exchanges.

But the VIX is not the only index to draw big money these days. A different investor has put $5.1 million on the line anticipating an increase in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) greater than 10 percent in the coming three months. Trade Alert reports that this trade comprises about 31,000 calls with a February expiry bought at around $1.65 per contract and bearing an exercise price of 1,975 on the U.S. equity benchmark.

Besides the astronomical amounts invested in them, the trades have also piqued the market’s interest on account of their different perspectives: the VIX trade hinges on the emergence of a highly volatile market, while the SPX trade needs significant gains in the equity market. Both trades, moreover, defy the popular prospect of a continued U.S. monetary stimulus following a bull market of four years.

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Stocks Finish Strong in the US

Stocks Finish Strong in the US

All three major indices finished superbly by the end of trading on Friday and had one of the best weeks of the year overall. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq ascended substantially, will all three seeing increases between 2.1 and 2.8 per cent. Dow and Nasdaq were both nearing record highs on Thursday although there was no major facilitator to cause the soar. It seems that investors are expecting the stocks to reach new highs in the coming weeks and therefore continue to trust in the bull market’s sustainability. Friday’s momentary sell-off was due to worse-than-expected data, but did not impact hugely the largely successful week of strong performance by the three major indexes.

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Portugal, Ireland to Avoid Disaster

Portugal, Ireland to Avoid Disaster

Portugal and Ireland, two debt-ridden Eurozone economies will likely receive more time to repay their loans after a meeting between euro ministers in Dublin on Friday. The news was welcomed by both countries which have struggled tremendously with ailing recoveries after massive debt-crises. Both countries look to receive an additional seven years to pay back their debts and make a healthy and robust return to the financial markets.

The finance ministers would be wise to discuss the potentially catastrophic consequences of the bloated and bigger-than-expected Cyprus bailout package which could derail the small island nation and even lead to mass exodus. Such worries became more realistic after ti was rumored that Cyprus needs to cough up an additional 6 billion euros to cover the expenses thus increasing the total amount to 23 billion euros. The figure is higher than the size of the whole Cypriot economy.

 

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Portugal Woes Weigh Heavy on the Euro

Portugal Woes Weigh Heavy on the Euro

The euro was trading around $1.30 against the dollar during Monday afternoon trade, anticipating bleak news from any one of the zone’s troubled economies. Following Cyprus and recently Slovenia – Portugal has now appeared as the latest patient in need of potentially instant care. On Friday Portugal’s high court ruled that the country’s plans to introduce pension cuts to its public sector was unlawful thus forcing the country to cough up another 900 million euros – precondition for the bailout – to fund its pending rescue package. Unlike other sick men in Europe such as Cyprus and Spain, Portugal is a student of austerity, an economic philosophy championed and cultivated by northern European countries. However, it seems that spending cuts are not enough to keep the Western European nation afloat.

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Super Mario to the Rescue?

Super Mario to the Rescue?

The euro fell earlier on Thursday as investors were anticipating ECB chairman Mario Draghi’s policy suggestions to revive the ailing single currency following substandard attempts to save Cyprus. Draghi said in a recent press conference that ECB’s monetary policy will remain accommodative.

“In the coming weeks, we will monitor very closely all the incoming information on economic and monetary developments, and assess the impact on the outlook for price stability,” Draghi said to reports on Thursday.

Most investors did not expect Draghi to make significant changes which could have either potentially boost the euro or create a backlash and thus possibly deepen the recession.

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IMF to Give Cyprus €1bn

IMF to Give Cyprus €1bn

As part of the €10bn troika rescue package, International Monetary Fund contributes 1 billion euros. IMF president Christine Lagarde told the press that the monetary fund will give Cyprus a three-year loan to assist the country with efforts to restructure the ailing island nation’s sickly banking sector. Lagarde said that “the IMF has reached staff level agreement with the Cypriot authorities on an economic programme that will be supported by the IMF jointly with the European Union and the European Central Bank”. As part of the bailout, Cyprus’s second largest banks, Laiki Bank will be shut while Bank of Cyprus will have to go through serious restructuring.

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Manufacturing Rallies

Manufacturing Rallies?

The recent index rally in the US has inspired many to applaud FED chairman Ben Bernanke for his pro-market fiscal policies. Peter Schiff, the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital points out in his recent article that market performance “is now almost completely correlated to Fed activism”. Indeed, market rallies, as with S&P 500 and Dow Jones, tell us more about investor confidence and very little about actual economic health of country and the companies listed in these indexes. Schiff argues that all recent market rallies are preceded by fresh stimulants from the FED and thus the markets fall when the stimulus tab runs dry.

For the investor, it’s imperative to know which variables to look at before investing. If Schiff is correct, markets will surge after Bernanke’s next decision to stimulate the economy. In other words, a case can be made that the rallies we are currently witnessing are largely artificial. Stock-investing is a powerful and historically efficient tool to boost the economy, but if Schiff is right, the only this investors are boosting is a big fat bubble - wholly dependent on the government’s economic policies.

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