Tag Archives: Eurozone Inflation

morning-coffee

ECB: Market-Watchers Look to Draghi for Clarity

Here’s today’s ‘Just A Minute’ bringing you a 60 second summary of what’s happening in the financial markets:

Main Trading Event Of The Day: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls @ 12.30 GMT

WHAT WE’RE WATCHING TODAY

ECB: Market-Watchers Look to Draghi for Clarity

A month after the ECB president, Mario Draghi introduced a varying range of fixes for the euro area’s faltering recovery, market-watchers are in disagreement about how long interest rates will stay near zero and remain unclear on the details of plans to boost lending. Draghi may use today’s appearance in Frankfurt as an opportunity to clarify the situation. As the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England work their way out of crisis-era support for their economies, the ECB continues to steer against the risk of a relapse. Draghi’s guidance on how he expects rates to develop over the next two to four years, if he decides to give any, will be crucial in bolstering investors’ optimism that the worst is truly over, while reassuring them that protection won’t be removed before they’re ready.

The euro is currently trading below $1.37, roughly where it was when the ECB met on June 5 but down from over $1.39 before the ECB flagged the cut in May. The ECB is keeping a close eye on the euro to gauge its impact on already low inflation. Euro zone inflation stood at 0.5 percent in June, well below the ECB’s medium-term target of just under 2 percent. Should the outlook for inflation deteriorate, Mario Draghi has said that the ECB would consider quantitative easing to keep borrowing costs low and boost spending.

Mario Draghi

Asia Stocks Fall Along With Gold; Dollar Gains Before Data

Asian Stocks fell from a six-year high, while precious metals dropped as the U.S. dollar gained versus its major peers before today’s jobs reports and a euro-area monetary-policy decision. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slipped 0.2 percent while Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures lost 0.1 percent. The Aussie slid 0.7 percent, trading at 93.78 U.S., cents after Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens said investors are underestimating the chance of currency losses. Oil in New York fell for a sixth day, its longest slump since May 2012. Australia’s currency also slid as the country’s central bank governor said it was overvalued. The Aussie is more than just a few cents overvalued and the risk of a significant fall is being underestimated according to Stevens.

The U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report comes after yesterday’s ADP data showed U.S. employment rose in June by the most since 2012, with more workers hired than economists projected. The European Central Bank meets today after enacting unprecedented stimulus last month, while in Asia, data on services industries is due.

jobs

Watch For Google’s Streaming Music Service…

With its Songza deal, Google could end up dominating other streaming music services if it becomes the default option on Android mobile devices due to Android’s dominance among mobile devices and Songza’s ability to curate and recommend new music to its users. Android devices make up nearly 62 percent of the U.S. market for smartphones, according to research as of May 2014. With the Songza move, Google pitches itself against Spotify, Pandora and Rdio as well as Apple, which acquired Beats Music and its streaming service, and Amazon, which recently launched a streaming music service for its Prime customers. The deal could be a win for Google’s advertising business. Keep an eye on Google stocks…

That sums up today’s highlights. It’s Non-Farm Payrolls day today so a busy day on the markets. Don’t forget you can stay regularly updated on events by visiting our Facebook, Twitter, Google+ and LinkedIn pages.

We hope you have a profitable day on the markets!

Not a Banc De Binary trader?

Sign In
just-a-minute-sample-B

Just A Minute!

Here’s today’s ‘Just A Minute’ bringing you a 60 second summary of what’s happening in the markets:

Main Trading Events Of The Day: USD CB Consumer Confidence @ 15.00 GMT

WHAT WE’RE WATCHING TODAY

U.S. Consumer Confidence Expected To Remain Near Five-Month High

A gauge of confidence among consumers is expected to stay unchanged in February after hitting a five-month high in January, according to economists. The U.S. has recently seen both positive and negative economic developments - conflicting forces that may have largely offset each other when it comes to consumer confidence. Stocks that raced up this month probably perked up consumers. Economists expect the Conference Board to report that its gauge of consumer confidence slightly pulled back to 80.1 this month from 80.7 in January. Consumers are the backbone of the U.S. economy, and analysts watch confidence levels to get a feeling for the direction of spending.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar steadied against its rivals in Asian trade with major currency pairs sticking to tight ranges as traders await economic data for more clarity on the pace of the U.S. economic recovery. The immediate focus for the dollar is U.S. data later in the day, including house price index and consumer confidence. Over the past few weeks markets have had to contend with negative surprises on U.S. hiring, retail sales and housing. Traders will also be looking to Thursday, when Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks to the Senate Banking Committee in her semi-annual testimony about monetary policy. Yellen’s first few comments since replacing Ben Bernanke as Fed chief have largely supported the current pace of the stimulus-tapering, suggesting the recent weakness in the economy was merely a blip.

Consumer Confidence

Eurozone Inflation In Biggest Monthly Fall In January

Eurozone consumer prices fell in January at their fastest ever pace on a monthly basis, dragged down by a slump in the cost of non-energy industrial goods. This has kept annual inflation well below the European Central Bank’s target. The inflation rate in the 18 countries sharing the euro dropped by 1.1 percent in January compared with December, keeping the annual inflation rate at 0.8 percent for a second month in a row. Economists expected consumer price inflation to accelerate slightly to 0.9 percent in January, a level that is still well below the ECB’s target of close to but below 2 percent. The annual rate was influenced by a 1.2 percent decline in the highly volatile prices of energy, while the monthly decline was hit by a 3.9 percent fall in prices of non-energy industrial goods and a 0.4 percent drop in the price of services.

In January, euro zone members Greece and Cyprus were stuck in deflation. Only Estonia, Latvia and Slovakia saw consumer prices rising month-on-month in January. Italy, the euro zone’s third largest economy, showed a 2.1 percent month-on-month decline, the biggest drop from among all euro zone members. In Germany, Europe’s largest economy, consumer prices fell by 0.7 percent on the month, keeping the annual inflation rate steady at 1.2 percent, with both figures coming below expectations.

Could WhatsApp Be Worth $100 Billion Once It Monetises?

Last week, Facebook Inc. made a huge decision to aquire WhatsApp, a mobile instant messaging app, for $19-billion which had industry observers questioning Mark Zuckerberg’s level of sanity and intelligence. But depending on what they do with the acquisition, it could prove to be a brilliant deal that completely redefines mobile communication and generates huge profits for Facebook. Perhaps this, after all, was a brilliant move on Mark Zuckerberg’s part as it becomes more apparent that he’s thinking about the next decade or more, while most short-term-minded investors suffer from tunnel vision locked onto today’s revenue.

In the next decade, it is likely that the majority of the world will stop using SMS and shift to data-oriented messaging programs on their smartphone. Facebook’s goal should be, and appears to be, to own this market. WhatsApp is huge. It has 450 million monthly active users, and are growing at one million new users per day. Can this be monetised? The possibilities are endless. The global SMS market brings in about $100-billion annually so it’s clear that there is money to be made here. People are not in the habit of using Facebook Messenger for real-time conversations and that’s where WhatsApp comes in. Facebook hasn’t just invested $19-billion to take over a popular instant messaging app. They’ve invested in the possibility of dominating mobile communication, using voice, video and text. The upside, should they execute well, is probably larger than most of us can imagine. We’re holding onto our shares!

facebook-whatsapp.jpg

That sums up Tuesday’s highlights! Follow us on Facebook, Twitter and Google+ for all the latest trading news and watch out for the all-important U.S. Consumer data later! We hope you have a profitable day on the markets.

Not a Banc De Binary trader?

Sign In