Tag Archives: Elections

Springtime for Hollande?

Springtime for Hollande?

The French president Francois Hollande’s arguably disastrous policies have put France in the same category of failing economies as Greece, Spain and Italy. Recent reports from Brussels suggest that France is on a collision course with Germany and other countries that advocate for fiscal responsibility. A report released by the European Commission on Wednesday used harsh language to describe France’s financial situation.

“France’s public sector indebtedness represents a vulnerability, not only for the country itself, but also for the euro area as a whole,” said the EC report.

The report also stated that “the resilience of the country to external shocks is diminishing and its medium-term growth prospects are increasingly hampered by longstanding imbalances.”

EC went as far as to threaten France with sanctions if it fails to change course. The two protagonists in the unravelling Eurozone play, Germany’s Angela Merkel and Hollande have been at odds since Hollande was elected president. Their economic policies and visions differ fundamentally, as Merkel has emphasised fiscal responsibility, while Hollande has sworn in the name of big government policies to revive the French economy. If one is to look at all the relevant variables measuring a country’s economic health, Merkel has succeeded while Hollande – who is now extremely unpopular in France – is heading towards a massive failure.

 

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Europe Regains Confidence

Europe Regains Confidence

A number of eurozone politicos are expected to make announcements on Thursday, closely observed by investors following the recent Italian elections which startled those how had expected the worst debt crisis to be over. The markets were on an upswing on Thursday morning as the euro and commodities shot higher as coolness prevailed across riskier assets. However, investors are anxious over the political impasse that followed the Italian elections and many suspect the situation could hurt eurozone growth numbers. Some speculate that the ECB might offer a helping hand if Italy does not find a way to form a workable government. What this means in practical terms is anyone’s guess.

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Italy in the Throes of a Stalemate

Italy in the Throes of a Stalemate

The euro’s future hangs in the balance as one of the big winners of Monday’s Italian election Beppe Grillo announced that he will not lend support for the traditional parties. Grillo’s announcement came in the aftermath of concerned European reactions to Italy’s commitment to sort out its economic woes and push for much needed financial reforms in order to resuscitate Italy and the ailing eurozone.

Grillo tweeted that his party, 5-Star “will not give any vote of confidence to the Democratic Party (PD) or anybody else but will vote in the chamber for laws which reflect its programme”. The centre-left took the majority of seats in parliament but lacking the numbers to form a government. Democratic Party leader Pier Luigi Bersani has made careful advances to Mr Grillo’s party, which rode the wave of mass resentment over the shape of things in the southern European state known for its aesthetic, yet chaotic politics.

 

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Italy Forced To Face Reality

Italy Forced To Face Reality

Following a night of Oscar glamour for many Italians, a rude awakening awaited the star-struck dreamers on Monday. It would not be a colossal exaggeration to assert that the eurozone’s future hangs in the balance as Italians prepare themselves for a new government which might very well make or break the euro. Most analysts are convinced that the big winner will be Pier Luigi Bersani, head of Italy’s centre-left Democratic Party while the hopeful comeback-kid, and fiscally and sexually irresponsible, Silvio Berlusconi will be the big loser.

Time and time again Italians have forgiven the bombastic Berlusconi for his fiscal and sexual misdemeanours and antics, but it seems that the seriousness of the country’s economic situation has conveyed a welcomed dose of solemnity into the hearts and minds of Italians. A rejection of Berlusconi would raise smiles in Brussels and elsewhere where the future of the single currency is cause for concern.

Only a few years ago, most euro-enthusiasts would claim that Italy is too productive and big to fail, but recent years have revealed that Italy, along with Spain and Greece, is the sick man of Europe. Italy’s chaotic beauty, so symptomatic of the Italian predicament, is in danger of losing its beauty.

The widely celebrated Italian author, Umberto Eco observed once that “Italy is not an intellectual country. On the subway in Tokyo everybody reads. In Italy, they don’t. Don’t evaluate Italy from the fact that it produced Raphael and Michelangelo”.

However, people and cultures change. Serious times require serious measures and it is possible that even Italians are capable of change, of course as long as change doesn’t mean giving up on the indulgence of fine food and arts, a self-confessed connoisseur of Italian culture would argue.

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Israeli Elections

Israel Averted A Descent Into The Depths Of Socialism

The national elections in Israel on Tuesday saw PM Netanyahu’s Likud party lose several seats while welcoming a new centrist party onto the national stage. Unsurprisingly most correspondents in the English speaking media saw the move to the center as a sign of Israel changing its social, economic and foreign policies.

However, Yair Lapid, the founding chairman of the winning centrist party, Yesh Atid, differs from PM Netanyahu only in not having a receding hairline. Lapid is a free-marketer with a strong sense of patriotism. Unlike statist socialists like the ultra-orthodox Shas and Labor, Yesh Atid wants to draft the religious and abandon restrictions of construction.

The mad headless chicken running around for its next fix i.e. Israel social justice movement will be in for a rude awakening when they realize that Lapid is more Milton and less Stalin in his economic policies.

Considering that the social movement was loud and numerous, it is safe to assume that many voted for Lapid and not for actual socialist parties such as Meretz and Labor. Lapid got the middle class, the motor of the social movement. Little did they know, Lapid will liberalize Israel’s economy and not enslave it to the short-term demands of forty-something professionals living and semi-struggling in Israel’s cozy suburbia.

The other big winner in the elections was Naftali Bennett, the leader of the Jewish Home party with 12 seats. Bennett is a free-marketer and a welcomed addition to the Bibi-Lapid leadership. If the elections are any indication, Israel will continue to attract foreign investors willing to bet on the country’s ability to transform and reinvent itself – at least until the next elections.

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