Tag Archives: Developing Nations

The Bullish Retailers

Advancing Market Slump to Be Decade-Long According to Wall Street Banks

Advancing markets are not likely to recover quickly from the asset slump of last year that has left behind advanced-nation shares by the most since 1998, according to the biggest banks of Wall Street.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has been advising cuts as high as a third in developing nations investments, predicting “significant underperformance” for stocks, bonds, and currencies for the next decade. JPMorgan Chase & Co anticipates that local-currency bonds will post 10 percent of their average returns over a 10-year period, while Morgan Stanley expects the Brazilian real, Turkish lira, and Russian ruble will continue their decline after falling as much as 17 percent last year.

During the worst periods of the latest global financial crisis, the developing economies of Brazil, Russia, India, and China indicated their increasing power by delivering outsized returns, but as the U.S. Federal Reserve reduces its stimulus and allows interest rates to rise, Morgan Stanley expects some of the same developing nations to now prove laaggard. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index has dropped 3.2 percent this year, compared to the 1.3 percent decline of the developed-market index, and reached a four-month low yesterday as Chinese data indicated a weakness in manufacturing and services.

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