Tag Archives: bond buying

Flying money

Dollar Rises on Anticipation of FOMC Minutes Release

The Fed is playing a central role again this week in the global currency exchange as traders await the release of the minutes of the December FOMC minutes to gauge how the Fed really stands towards the $10-billion stimulus reduction it decided to implement.

The anticipation alone of the release and speculation as to the content of the minutes has sent the U.S. dollar climbing near a five-year five against the Japanese yen. Economists and traders expect that the stimulus reduction will continue a steady course over the next year with gradual decreases after each new FOMC meeting. According to San Fransisco Fed President John Williams, who is not currently a voting member of the committee, they bond-purchasing programme may well end this year.

A forecast by Bloomberg News survey, sees the Fed cutting the stimulus package by $10 billion dollars after each one of the next seven FOMC meetings, thus ending the programme by December 2014.

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melted gold

Gold Slides for Fifth Day; Gold Bug Expects Reversal Soon

After its speedy rise at the end of the U.S. government shutdown and signs of a struggling American economy, gold recorded its fifth consecutive day of rapid decline, heading for the longest slump in three months, after data showed U.S. manufacturing activity climbed to a two-year high, spurring speculation that the Federal Reserve will after all begin paring stimulus sooner that previously forecast.

Bullion for immediate delivery fell as much as 0.3 percent to $1,312.24 an ounce. Further drop today would mark the longer losing run since the five days leading to 1st August.

Gold plummeted 22 percent in 2013 as investors sold off the safe-haven commodity as prospects of an economic recovery appeared on the horizon. Although the Fed maintained its $85 billion monthly bond-buying programme last week, it also noted signs of underlying strength” in the world’s largest economy that seems to have renewed investors trust in the USD.

But not everyone agrees that investors should so quickly shun the precious metal. Peter Schiff, nicknamed gold bug, predicts gold will maintain its 21 percent year-to-date fall and even surge 52 percent to hit a record $2,000 an ounce within a year. Schiff stated that he’s waiting for a dollar crash, one much worse than any thus-far experienced, that will benefit gold. Despite the gold bug’s accurate predictions in 2006 about the burst of the housing bubble and bank bankruptcy, many critics laugh at his recent predictions seeing no signs for such economic reversal.

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euro vs. dollar

Dollar Rising Against Euro Sign of Recovery?

The U.S. dollar kept rising for the fourth day against the euro before the release of U.S. Unemployment Claims, which is forecast to have decreased, today at 1:30 p.m. GMT.

The U.S. currency, however, is still set for monthly declines against most major peers as the Federal Reserve decision to continue its $85-billion bond-buying programme released yesterday underlines the toll the partial government shutdown earlier this month took on the economy.

The dollar inched up 0.2 percent to $1.3709 yesterday, after having gained 0.5 percent in the previous three sessions. Overall for the month, the greenback was set for a 1.3 percent fall against the euro.

Whether the signs of recovery can hold up in these turbulent times will be revealed in the first-time applications for jobless benefits which is expected to have decreased to 341,000 in the week ended 26th October from 350,000 the week before.

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