Just A Minute!

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Here’s Tuesday’s ‘Just A Minute’ bringing you a 60 second summary of what’s happening in the markets:

Main Trading Events Of The Day: EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment @ 10.00; USD Building Permits @ 12.30; USD Core CPI m/m @ 12.30 GMT

WHAT WE’RE WATCHING TODAY

U.S. Markets Look To German Stocks As German ZEW Economic Sentiment Awaited

Markets around the world have been becoming more jittery by the Russia/Ukraine crisis and the possibility of slowing economic growth in China. The situation is having a profound impact on U.S. markets with traders up and down Wall Street pointing to a renewed sense of risk aversion and questioning whether or not this is the beginning of that long-awaited correction for U.S. stocks. Slowing growth in China and worries about Russia’s tense relationship with Ukraine continue to fester but many traders have been paying even more attention to what’s happening in continental Europe for signs of what’s ahead for U.S. stocks. In particular, they are looking at Germany’s stock market which has relatively close economic ties to Russia. The two are trading partners, so weakness in Russia’s markets will reverberate through Germany’s markets to a certain degree. In turn, Germany is an important trading partner with the U.S. and there is a very high correlation between the value of the S&P 500 and Germany’s DAX stock index. In other words, the direction of both indexes seems to track each other fairly closely, hence many traders are also keeping a close eye market developments in Germany. While there has been selling pressure on U.S. stocks, some traders note that there isn’t a sense of panic selling. They also note that the current downside pressure isn’t a result of a massive flood of sell orders hitting the market. Rather, it’s been a lack of any real buy orders. With stocks near record highs, caution is still the prevailing sentiment. However, the trading relationship between German and American stocks is perhaps one reason why some traders are taking some profits just in case the global geopolitical or economic situation takes a turn for the worse.

The importance of the German market is once again highlighted in today’s German ZEW Economic Sentiment @ 10.00 GMT. Economic expectations in the euro zone declined in February by 5.4 points to 68.5. Analysts had expected a higher reading of 73.9. The decline in sentiment may attributed to concerns about U.S. economic recovery, and market volatility in emerging markets. Despite the relatively weak reading, ZEW President Clemens Fuest believes this decline in economic expectations is a temporary setback, since the majority of surveyed financial market experts remain optimistic. A further decline to 67.3 is expected.

German Sentiment

Markets Eye Housing Data & FOMC For Market Buzz

Economic data and the Federal Reserve are expected to receive most of Wall Street’s attention this week with the big question being whether we are we looking at ongoing weather-related data, or if we are likely to see incremental improvement. Traders will of course be keeping their eyes on the Ukraine but it may come off the trader screen for the next few days, as we head to the FOMC on Wednesday. Reports scheduled for release include the consumer price index, typically scrutinised by analysts and investors for any sign of inflation, along with housing starts and building permits, all for February. The report, along with one on mortgage applications on Wednesday and existing home sales on Thursday, should give investors a clearer view on the health of the housing sector, an important piece of the U.S. economy. The expectations there a little stronger than they have been with the addition of 175,000 jobs in February and separately, a 0.3 percent rise in retail sales last month. The economic reports should begin to answer whether equity investors made the right call in writing off a large number of economic reports as being adversely affected by the weather. On Monday, stocks rallied, with the Dow rebounding from a five-day losing streak, as voting in Crimea passed without violence and after economic report had U.S. manufacturing output jumping the most in six months.

Apple Favorite Brand In Emerging Markets

Apple is the most desirable mobile-phone brand among inhabitants of emerging markets, according to a report. In a study conducted this year, Apple edged out Samsung Electronics, which was the leader in a separate survey last year. Samsung saw a slight decline in its share of developing-market consumers who favour its phones from 32 percent to 29 percent while Apple’s share jumped dramatically from 21 percent to where Samsung was last year. The brand halo for Apple is a good thing, but it won’t help the company overtake Samsung in sales, at least not immediately. Samsung Electronics is the world’s largest maker of smartphones partly because it makes low-margin, cheap handsets in addition to Galaxy products. The bright side for Apple is that the new emerging middle classes may switch to iPhones when they can afford them.

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That sums up today’s highlights! Keep an eye on the markets today for important data releases via our Facebook, Twitter, Google+ and LinkedIn pages. We hope you have a profitable day on the markets!